Wednesday, January 25, 2012

I'm excited about the election in Florida today

Dear Readers,

What happened in South Carolina? Newt Gingrich won the Republican primary there, 40 % to 27 %. Yikes. How depressing. Only a few weeks ago, Mitt had a twenty point lead in the polls.

Maybe there's some anti-Mormon sentiment in South Carolina. Or maybe there's a bunch of gullible rednecks in South Carolina that don't know much about politics or history.

Or maybe Newt Gingrich did so well in the debates that the voters gave him another chance. Yeah, I think that Newt Gingrich usually does better in the debates than Mitt Romney does, and South Carolinians really like it when Newt gets angry, so... they voted for Newt.

The polls show that most people who voted for Newt decided picked their candidate at the last minute. And that's a bad thing. When is it best to write a big research paper for school? A week in advance, or the night before it's due? A week in advance, of course! Likewise, voters should do their homework weeks or maybe months in advance, and then stick with their choice, unless something major happens.

Now, what's going to happen in Florida? I don't know. It's going to be a close race. The polls right now show that it's neck and neck. Senator Marco Rubio is sort of endorsing Mitt Romney... um... not really... but Newt Gingrich had a commercial that called Mitt Romney "anti-immigrant," and Marco Rubio said, "Hey, that's messed up. Romney's not anti-immigrant; He's pro-legal immigration." And then Gingrich pulled the controversial commercial because he didn't want to make Rubio mad. Presumably, a lot of the Cuban-Americans in Florida really like Rubio, and they'll give Rubio's endorsement or quasi-endorsement a lot of credence. So even though Rubio didn't endorse endorse Romney, um... if we could see inside Rubio's private voting booth, I bet we'd see him check the box next to Romney's name.

But I hope hope hope with all my hope that Mitt Romney wins. Please, please voters in Florida, if you're reading this, vote for Mitt Romney!

And what if Romney loses? Well, Mitt Romney said after he lost in South Carolina that he would campaign in all 50 states. And I believe him. So, even if he loses in Florida, which is a winner-take-all state with a ka-billion delegates, he's going to keep on fighting. If Romney loses in Florida, it would be a major setback, but it would not be the end of the primary election. As much as there's an anti-Romney sentiment in the Republican party, I think there's an even bigger anti-Gingrich sentiment.

And what if Gingrich wins Florida and wins enough of the elections to get the nomination? Well, I'll vote for him of course, because he would be a better President than Obama. But I really don't think Gingrich could beat Obama. Newt Gingrich is too polarizing.

Oh, and one other thing. Mitt Romney is more conservative than Newt Gingrich. A Mitt Romney Presidency would be better for the interests of the Tea Party than a Newt Gingrich Presidency would be.

Mitt Romney 2012!

Sincerely,
Telemoonfa

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